Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Odds, Picks & Lines for NFL Playoffs
by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football
Updated Jan 14, 2024 · 10:42 AM PST
Dec 30, 2023; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Brandin Cooks (3) celebrates with Dallas Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb (88) after making a touchdown catch during the second half against the Detroit Lions at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY SportsThe Cowboys look to win their ninth home game this season when they host the Packers in the Wild Card Playoffs on SundayDak Prescott and Jordan Love are 1-2 in touchdown passes this seasonGet the Packers vs Cowboys odds, picks and predictions for the Wild Card Playoffs here
It’s #2 versus #7 in the NFC, when the Dallas Cowboys host the Green Bay Packers at AT&T Stadium on Sunday in the Wild Card Playoffs at 4:30 pm EST. Playing at home where they’ve yet to lose this season, it’s Dallas favored by 7 points in the Packers vs Cowboys odds.
Read on for the full Green Bay vs Dallas odds and our top Packers vs Cowboys prediction here.
Packers vs Cowboys Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Green Bay | +7.5 (-115) | +290 | Over 51.5 (-105) |
Dallas | -7.5 (-105) | -360 | Under 51.5 (-115) |
The Packers vs Cowboys point spread is back up to Dallas -7.5 three hours before kickoff. The Cowboys opened as 7.5-point chalk last week before the line moved half a point towards the Packers. But heavy betting on Dallas has pushed it back up over a touchdown. The game total has also seen considerably movement. The over/under opened at 49.5 and is now two points higher at 51.5.
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How to Watch Green Bay vs Dallas
Viewers in the United States can watch this Green Bay vs Dallas game on Sunday on FOX, while viewers in Canada can watch on DAZN or TSN.
Packers vs Cowboys Head-to-Head History
When these teams met last year it was Green Bay winning at home 31-28 in overtime. The Packers have had the Cowboys’ number in recent years having won each of the past four games, albeit by relatively close but high scores of 31-18, 34-24, 35-31 and 34-31. Green Bay has also won nine of the past ten games with the Cowboys.
Packers vs Cowboys Public Betting Trends
In NFL public betting, the public is siding with the Cowboys with 69% of the ATS money and 70% of the ATS bets coming in on the Cowboys. When it comes to straight up wagers, it’s even more heavily weighted towards Dallas with 79% of the money and 90% of the moneyline bets. The Green Bay vs Dallas betting splits are also showing 74% of game-total handle in favor of the over.
Packers Betting Preview
Green Bay comes into the playoffs on a high having won three straight games as well as six of their past eight. In Week 18 they won 17-9 over Chicago in a close divisional matchup, but prior to that they had scored 33 points in back-to-back games. They’d also scored 20 or more points in their previous seven games,
Jordan Love has made strides as the season went along. In his first nine games this season he threw 14 TDs and 10 INTs and the Packers went 3-6. His final eight games have seen him throw 18 TDs and just 1 INT and the Packers went 6-2.
Love has thrown multiple touchdown passes in each of his last four games as well as in 8/9 games and hasn’t thrown an interception in four games.
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Aaron Jones returned from injury on December 17 and while he hasn’t found the endzone yet, he has been making an impact with 141, 130 and 135 combined yards in his past three games.
Green Bay has the youngest receiving corps in the league and also the youngest overall team in the league. While no one receiver stands out, they have four, Jaylen Reed, Romeo Dobbs, Dontayvion Wicks and Christian Watson who all have over 400 yards and four or more touchdowns.
However, each of Watson, Doubs, Jones and LG Elgton Jenkins were listed on the Packers injury report earlier this week. Watson is still questionable, with RB AJ Dhillon doubtful. There’s also a concern on defense, as four starters had injury designations earlier, though as of Friday, only CB Jaire Alexander was still questionable.
Quite the break out season for Jordan Love 👀 pic.twitter.com/leLVjz4F0h
— NFL Total Access (@NFLTotalAccess) January 11, 2024
Cowboys Betting Preview
At 12-5, Dallas is among the 2024 Super Bowl favorites at +750. They won the NFC East, with much of their success coming from their incredible home form. Dallas went 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS at home this season, but are also riding a 16-game home winning streak going back to last season.
This season, Dallas has blown away almost everyone who has stepped foot into At&T Stadium with wins by 20, 35, 23, 32, 35, 6, 20 and then 1 point against Detroit most recently in Week 17. That gives them a ridiculous home point-differential of +172.
The Cowboys ended the regular season with a win, routing the Commanders 38-10 in Washington giving them back-to-back wins heading into the playoffs. They have two losses in their past four, 22-20 to Miami and 31-10 to Buffalo, but both of those came on the road. Overall, they’re 7-2 SU in their past nine games.
The last time Dak Prescott met the Packers in the playoffs
• 24/32 Passing• 63.2% Completion Percentage • 302 Yards• 3 TDs• 0.241 Adj EPA/Play• 56.8% Success Ratepic.twitter.com/jugETpGlUq
— Micah Parsons Fan (@demcowboysfan) January 11, 2024
Dak Prescott topped the league in passing touchdowns with 36 and was third in yards with 4,516. He did so while only throwing nine interceptions. Dak has thrown eight touchdown passes in his past three games and multiple TD passes in 10 of his past 11.
The player to benefit most from this has been WR CeeDee Lamb who has been on the end of 12 of those touchdown passes, including nine in his past nine games. Lamb led the league with 135 receptions and is always worth a look across receiving and touchdown categories in the Packers vs Cowboys props.
Packers vs Cowboys Head-to-Head Stats
PackersVSCowboys
9-8 / 9-8 Record / ATS 12-5 / 10-7 12th (22.5) PPG Scored 1st (29.9) 11th YPG Offense 5th 12th Passing YPG 3rd 15th Rushing YPG 14th 10th (20.6) PPG Allowed 5th (18.5) 17th YPG Allowed 5th 9th Passing YPG Allowed 5th 28th Rushing YPG Allowed 16th *Stats heading into Wild Card Weekend
Packers vs Cowboys Prediction
These are the 1st and 2nd passing touchdown leaders matching up in this NFC Wild Card Playoff game. Love was just four TD passes back of Dak for the lead.
Both coaches have excelled in their careers in these current roles as underdogs and favorites. Green Bay’s Matt LaFleur is 19-8 ATS as a dog, while Dallas’ Mike McCarthy is 110-74-4 ATS as a favorite.
This season Dallas has been 10-3 ATS as a favorite and 6-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Green Bay has gone 6-4 ATS as an underdog and 3-3 ATS as an away underdog.
Dallas home games have gone 5-3 to Over, while Green Bay road games have 7-2 to Over. Dallas always gets theirs at home, but the Packers should find some success also, pushing this game over 50 points.
Packers vs Cowboys Picks: Over 50.5
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