Matchday six concludes on Sunday and we have a five-match slate on the horizon. A lot of big-time teams are in action, including a marquee morning matchup between Arsenal and Tottenham. I have a play in that match, along with two others. Let’s dive into my top three bets for matchday six in the Premier League.
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Soccer Betting Record 2023-2024: 12-10 (-0.99 units)
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Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Arsenal (-150) vs. Tottenham (+360), DRAW (+340), 3.5 (+125/-155)
The Gunners had a promising result in their midweek Champions League tilt against PSV Eindhoven, collecting a 4-0 win. Arsenal’s now 3-0-0 in their last three competitions overall, and they’ll put their streak on the line as they host Tottenham on Sunday morning. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 a.m. ET from Emirates Stadium in London.
I am extremely high on this Arsenal team, so much so that I played them at 10/1 to win the Champions League in my futures article. On the domestic front, I also think there’s a chance they dethrone juggernaut Manchester City and earn a Premier League title.
With that being said, every point is important and I think Mikel Arteta’s men bag three of them on Sunday morning. Martin Ødegaard and Bukayo Saka are in great form up front as they each netted goals in Wednesday’s clash with PSV. The duo have also each scored twice in the PL thus far. Considering they have their home-pitch advantage, I expect them to take care of business against the Spurs.
Bet: Arsenal Moneyline (-150)
Chelsea (-110) vs. Aston Villa (+290), DRAW (+290) | 2.5 (-160/+130)
Oh, Chelsea. Things haven’t been going well for the Blues this season as they’re just 1-2-2 in their first five matches. That includes a stunning 0-0 road draw with AFC Bournemouth this past weekend. Mauricio Pochettino’s side will host a tough Aston Villa squad and this one gets underway at 9:00 a.m. ET from Stamford Bridge in London.
Chelsea just hasn’t been able to get the offensive production going over the past few years. Even dating back to the Champions League title run under Thomas Tuchel, this has been a defensive-minded club (or at least poses as one since they haven’t been able to score). I don’t see that changing on Sunday. If Chelsea is unable to find scoring, they’ll likely go into a defensive shell as they attempt to pick up at least one point.
As for Aston Villa, they’ve played three road matches so far and have found the back of the net four times. This is a team that I feel is lacking a true finisher up front. They’ll get scoring contributions from Jhon Durán and Moussa Diaby, but I don’t think these are forwards that can absolutely take over a game. This just seems like too good of a spot to pass up on the +290 payout for a draw. Neither club possesses the offensive ability to pull away, which should keep this match tight throughout the full 90 minutes.
Bet: Draw (+290)
Liverpool (-255) vs. West Ham (+600), DRAW (+450) | 3.5 (+105/-130)
West Ham has been quite the surprise this season as the Hammers are off to an impressive 3-1-1 start. They’ll travel to the hostile Anfield on Sunday to take on Liverpool at 9:00 a.m. ET.
While West Ham’s story has been a fun one to start the new campaign, I have to fade them as they’re running into a red-hot Reds squad on Sunday. I, like a lot of people, have Jürgen Klopp’s team finishing high in the table this year. This feels like a revenge tour after they missed out on a UCL position last season.
They’re in fantastic form recently, winning five straight competitions overall. All five matches have seen at least two goals, and they’re averaging 2.8 tallies over the five-contest sample size. So, the offense shouldn’t be the issue on Sunday. It’s the defense that’s been a bit worrisome recently, but with Trent Alexander-Arnold likely getting back into the fold along with a home-pitch advantage, I think Alisson keeps this backline in formation. I say this match ends in the 3-0 or 3-1 range in favor of Liverpool. I’ll lay the 1.5 goals with a +100 payout.
Bet: Liverpool -1.5 (+100)
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