Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame Odds, Props & Predictions for ACC Tournament

Feb 14, 2024; South Bend, Indiana, USA; Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets guard Kyle Sturdivant (1) knocks the ball away from Notre Dame Fighting Irish guard Julian Roper II (1) in the first half at the Purcell Pavilion. Mandatory Credit: Matt Cashore-USA TODAY SportsThe #12 vs #13 game in the ACC Tournament features Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech on Tuesday, March 12The Irish took both games from the Yellow Jackets in the regular seasonSee the Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame odds, spread, props and predictions for Tuesday’s game in DC

The Notre Dame Fishing Irish (12-19, 7-13 ACC, 1-1 neutral, 17-14 ATS) will try to make it a perfect three-for-three against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (14-17, 7-13 ACC, 2-1 neutral, 15-16 ATS) this season when the teams meet in the first round of the ACC Tournament on Tuesday afternoon at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC.

The 12th-seeded Irish are slight favorites over the 13th-seeded Yellow Jackets, but the spread is just 1.5 points.

Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame Odds

The Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame odds also slightly favor the Irish on the moneyline at -125 with the Yellow Jackets at +105 to advance. The over/under is sitting at just 130.5 in Tuesday’s college basketball odds.

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Odds as of March 12 at ESPN Bet. Claim the ESPN Bet North Carolina promo today.

Both teams need an improbable run to the ACC championship to get into the March Madness bracket. Georgia Tech has qualified just once in the last 15 seasons (2021) while Notre Dame has only made the Tourney once (2022) since 2017.

Notre Dame Goes 5-3 Down the Stretch

The Irish played some of their best basketball of the season in the final month. Despite finishing the regular season on a two-game skid, Notre Dame managed to go 5-3 in its last eight games, including a 70-65 home win over Wake Forest (26th at KenPom) and a 69-62 home win over Clemson (24th at KenPom), the team’s two best wins of the year.

The discrepancy between Notre Dame’s anemic offense and top-tier defense is one of the starkest juxtapositions in the country. The Irish sit just 252nd in offensive efficiency at KenPom (worst in the ACC, even lower than Louisville) but 27th in Defensive Efficiency (fourth-best in the ACC).

Freshman guard Markus Burton has been Notre Dame’s lone bright spot offensively, averaging 17.3 PPG and 4.3 APG. Though he’s only shooting 42.3% from the floor and 29.7% from three on 4.1 attempts per game. Burton is the only Notre Dame player averaging double-digit points this season.

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Georgia Tech Has Three-Game Win Streak Snapped at Virginia

Like the Irish, the Yellow Jackets finished the season strong, going 4-2 in their last six games and winning three straight from Feb. 24 to Mar. 5 over Miami (80-76 away), Florida State (85-76 home), and Wake Forest (70-69 away). That streak came to an end at Virginia in their final game of the regular season, a 72-57 loss to the Cavaliers.

Tech’s win over Wake Forest was its fourth of the season over a top-30 KenPom team. Their wildly inconsistent resume also includes wins over #7 Duke (72-68 home), #8 UNC (74-73 home), and #24 Clemson (93-90 away).

Georgia Tech doesn’t do any one thing particularly well but is considerably more balanced than Notre Dame, sitting 139th in offensive efficiency and 138th on defense. Three Yellow Jackets average in double ps on offense: Miles Kelly (14.1 PPG, 5.6 RPG), Baye Ndongo (12.0 PPG, 8.3 RPG), and Kowacie Reeves Jr (10.0 PPG, 4.1 RPG).

A major concern for Georgia Tech heading into the ACC Tournament is the status of Kelly. He left the Virginia game with a back injury, finishing with no points on 0-4 shooting in just 23 minutes.

Georgia Tech lost a pair of close games to Notre Dame in the regular season: 75-68 OT in Atlanta and 58-55 in South Bend.

Ga. Tech vs Notre Dame Player Props

College basketball player props as of March 12 at DraftKings. 

Burton (19.5) has the highest point total on the board in the Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame props by a wide margin. No other player is higher than 11.5. Tech’s leading scorer, Miles Kelly, is notably absent from the props due to his back injury. He hasn’t been ruled in or out for Tuesday’s game.

Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame Prediction

The Yellow Jackets have a much higher upside than the Irish and, the way they played down the stretch, I am inclined to back them against the Irish. But the injury to Kelly worries me too much. This is a much different team if the 6’6 junior guard can’t play – or is hobbled. Scoring against this Notre Dame defense is difficult at the best of times, and removing the best offensive weapon only exacerbates that difficulty.

Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame picks:

Notre Dame moneyline (-125)Under 130.5 (-110)

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Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NCAAM betting record:

ATS: 17-19 (-3.59 units)Moneyline: 2-9 (-9.48 units)Over/Under: 0-1 (-1.00 units)Player props: 4-2 (+2.20 units)