Yankees vs Orioles Prediction, Picks, Odds & Starting Pitchers

Jul 9, 2024; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Carlos Rodon (55) throws a pitch against the Tampa Bay Rays during the first inning at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY SportsWe’ve made our Orioles vs Yankees prediction for Sunday’s crucial AL East showdownThe Orioles are slight -112 favorites in the MLB odds, with the Yankees at -102Read below for our Orioles vs Yankees prediction, odds, and starting pitchers for July 14th

The Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees conclude their entertaining three-game set on Sunday, July 14, 2024, at the iconic Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The first pitch is slated for 11:35 AM ET, and fans can catch all the action on Roku.

The Yankees, who have taken the series’ first two games, come in as slight underdogs with moneyline odds of -104. The Orioles, desperate to salvage the finale, are -112 favorites.

We’ve made our Yankees vs Orioles prediction for Sunday, forecasting a desperate Baltimore club to get the job done at home.

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction

The Yankees have dominated the first two games of this series, notching 4-1 and 6-1 victories. New York’s dynamic duo of Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been the driving force, with both sluggers going deep in Saturday’s win.

Judge’s blast was his 34th, setting a new Yankees record for most home runs before the All-Star break. On the flip side, the Orioles are mired in a five-game skid, scoring a meager four runs during this stretch.

But here’s the thing: the Orioles’ lineup is too good to stay silent for long. With seven players boasting double-digit home runs, Baltimore’s bats are poised to erupt. Manager Brandon Hyde remains bullish on his team’s offensive potential, and first baseman Ryan Mountcastle is eyeing this game as a springboard into the second half.

In a high-stakes rubber match, I’m backing the Orioles to snap out of their funk and outslug the Yankees. With the division lead up for grabs, Baltimore’s hitters should rise to the occasion and light up the scoreboard. Expect a back-and-forth affair with plenty of fireworks.

BAL-NY Picks:

Orioles ML (-120)Over 9 Runs (-115)

Orioles vs Yankees Odds

The oddsmakers have the Orioles as slight favorites at -112, translating to a 51% implied probability of victory. The Yankees, at -104, have a 47.2% chance of coming out on top. These odds mirror the competitive nature of the AL East and the razor-thin margin separating these two powerhouses.

The run line of +1.5 (-185) for the Yankees suggests that bookmakers believe New York will keep things competitive, even if they fall short. With an over/under of 9 runs, the stage is set for a potential slugfest.

A series win secured ✅ pic.twitter.com/3by1lhTqSE

— New York Yankees (@Yankees) July 13, 2024

Recent head-to-head results favor the Yankees, who have won four of the last five meetings. However, the Orioles hold a 5-4 edge in the season series, and they’ll be hungry to even things up before heading into the break.

Regarding the total of nine runs, there is -120 juice to the over. There are plenty of metrics pointing to a high-scoring game on Sunday, including the “over” being 7-1-2 in Rodons’ last ten starts following an Orioles team loss.

 

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Odds as of July 14th, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Check out the top US betting sites for Sunday morning baseball. 

Baltimore vs New York Starting Pitchers

The pitching matchup pits Yankees southpaw Carlos Rodon (9-7, 4.63 ERA) against Orioles right-hander Dean Kremer (4-5, 4.42 ERA). Rodon has hit a rough patch, dropping five straight decisions and surrendering 27 earned runs over his last 23 innings.

In his lone start against Baltimore this year, Rodon was tagged for seven runs (six earned) in four frames. His career numbers against the O’s are equally concerning: 0-3 with a 5.74 ERA in six appearances (five starts).

RodonVSKremer

9-7	Record	4-5
4.63	ERA	4.42
1.262	WHIP	1.186
3.5	K/BB	2.61
9.2	K/9	OFF

Kremer, meanwhile, beat the Yankees on April 30, allowing two runs and four hits across seven innings. He’s faced New York 10 times in his career, going 3-3 with a 4.70 ERA.

While neither pitcher has been dominant this season, Kremer has the edge based on recent performance and his success against the Yankees. The Orioles are 13-3 in Kremers’ last 16 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

BAL-NYY Injury Report

Baltimore’s outfield has taken a couple of hits over the weekend. Heston Kjerstad was placed on the seven-day concussion IL after being hit by a pitch on Friday. He experienced discomfort during batting practice Saturday, leading to the IL stint.

Austin Hays also exited Saturday’s game with hip soreness, although manager Brandon Hyde described it as a precautionary measure. Hays could potentially find himself in Sunday’s starting lineup, but if he’s unable to go, the Orioles’ outfield depth will be put to the test.

The Yankees, meanwhile, have not reported any new injuries heading into the series finale.

 

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